I'm not too sure about Hillary's math.
Beyond the fact that she's running a campaign that was severely in debt (at least before the cash transfusion following Pennsylvania's primary), she's now claiming to be ahead in popular votes.
Huh?
Here are the numbers and the tortured algebra that is Clintonian math:
Currently, in all the primaries (and this is crucial, primaries ONLY... Clintons throw out caucuses... because these "boutique" caucuses bring out the "latte-sipping crowd," not real, working Democrats... and oh, yeah, she's getting her ASS handed to her in the caucuses [Bill claims the caucuses are "killing" them], Clinton is behind Obama, 13,916,781 to 14,417,134 --
er, wait, that can't be right. Oh, yeah, we need to add Florida (which the DNC stripped the delegates of for holding their primary too early... and the candidates agreed to not campaign there and that the primary results wouldn't count)... which then brings Clinton's lead to... wait, she's still down 14,787,767 to 14,993,348 --
that can't be right, either. That's right, we need to add Michigan (in which all of the major candidates pulled themselves off the ballot, save for Clinton, because Michigan, too, was stripped of its delegates by the DNC for holding their primary too early), yeah, THAT should do it.
And it does: Clinton leads 15,116,076 to 14,993,348.
But again, we need to pause for a minute... Michigan? OBAMA WASN'T EVEN ON THE BALLOT. So the argument could be made, then, if Obama wasn't on the ballot but he's the only one left in the race, he should get the "uncommitted" votes [238,168] then, right? If you do that, then Obama's back in the lead, 15,231,516 to 15,116,076.
This won't do if you're Clintonian; you're probably not going to want to give him ALL the uncommitted votes. But how to divvy up those votes... how about this? We take all the primaries until now (and primaries ONLY... remember, this is CLINTONIAN logic, AND we include Florida [heh heh]), and we take the percentage of the popular vote won by Obama (47... and that's rounding DOWN), and we allow that percentage to be used on all of the NON-Hillary votes cast in Michigan (Kucinich, Dodd, Gravel and "Uncommitted"), Obama only gets 125,061 votes in Michigan, and Hillary still leads--
uh, no she's behind 15,116,076 to 15,118,409... DAMN, that doesn't work. How about this? Instead of giving Obama 47% of all non-Hill votes, we only give him 47% of the uncommitted?
OK, now Hillary's the winner 15,116,076 to 15,105,287.
And all is right with the world.
THIS is what we have to go through to get Hillary on top?
Fucking HIL-arious.
btw, if your count the caucuses and discount Florida and Michigan Obama leads 14,751,218 to 14,140,643.
Thursday, April 24, 2008
Math
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