Another week plus

Craziness. Vegas, politics, work, water polo.

I've become a political junkie, and have been spending much of my free time updating my Electoral College tracker.

And it's the Friday before the most important vote of my life... and my prediction is:

McCain.

Yep, I'm that pessimistic.

Why? The polls keep fluctuating. And lately, it trends toward McCain. I think it will be tight. I think Obama will win the popular vote... may even get to 51 or 52, but I think the electoral will break toward McCain.

Despite the coverage of the MSM, I have 209 solid for Obama, 24 pretty strong, and 35 leaning (and that's 268). On the McCain side, I have him with a total of 212. That's a toss-up 58... in those states (CO, NC, VA, and PA), Obama is ahead, but with enough undecideds to go with McCain (I figure the smears of the last week will add up to a 3- or 4- to-1 break of undecideds to McCain)... and that means PA goes to McCain, North Carolina goes to Obama, and Virginia and Colorado are dead heats.

I know, that gives Obama the victory, with 283. But that doesn't take into account the "Bradley Effect"... with it McCain takes it by a bundle, 312-226.

So what can I do? I'm making calls on Saturday night.

My vote's in the mail... so at least this can't come true: